PennPIRG
April 23,
2008
Contact:
Sujatha Jahagirdar
(323) 309 612
Erica Briant
(609) 513 1216
Youth Vote Momentum Persists in Keystone Contest
[Philadelphia, PA]
High young voter turnout rates seen in the presidential contest to date
persisted in yesterday’s closely-watched Pennsylvania
primary.
“Once again, yesterday’s results show that the millennial
generation is tuned in and turning out.” said Sujatha
Jahagirdar, Program Director for the Student PIRGs’ New
Voters Project.
While a lack of exit polling in the 2000 and 2004 Pennsylvania primaries
and of Republican voters this year prevents a full immediate analysis, all
indications point to significant increases in youth turnout among young
voters.
A Student
PIRG analysis of data provided by the Center for Information and Research on
Civic Learning and Engagement, for instance, shows turnout rates among young
Pennsylvania Democrats on par with those in states that posted up to 250
percent surges in the youth vote this year.
In an additional analysis, after assuming a young Republican
turnout ratio in Pennsylvania equal to the
average in primary contests to date, estimated overall turnout rates in
Pennsylvania equaled those of other states in which youth turnout surged
earlier this year.
|
|
2008 Young (18-29 yrs) Democrat
Turnout*
(% of Total Young Eligible Voters)
|
2008 Overall Young Voter
(18-29 yrs) Turnout Rate (%)
|
Overall Youth Turnout Increase
(2000-2008)
|
|
Pennsylvania
|
14
|
21**
|
|
|
Missouri
|
13
|
21
|
200%
|
|
Georgia
|
13
|
21
|
200%
|
|
Massachusetts
|
18
|
25
|
127%
|
|
Ohio
|
20
|
25
|
67%
|
|
Texas
|
13
|
17
|
183%
|
|
California
|
14
|
19
|
46%
|
|
Connecticut
|
8
|
12
|
71%
|
|
Florida
|
7
|
13
|
225%
|
|
Oklahoma
|
6
|
14
|
250%
|
|
Maryland
|
13
|
15
|
36%
|
|
Louisiana
|
5
|
7
|
133%
|
*Due to
the lack of Republican exit poll data in the Pennsylvania contest, for the
purposes of comparison to earlier contests authors removed Republican young
voters from consideration and examined the number of young democrats that turned
out as a percentage of the total number of young eligible voters in selected
previous primaries.
**Assumes
a young democrat to young republican turnout ratio of 2.12, the average young
democrat to young republican turnout ratio in the
above listed primary contests.
Source:
Authors analysis of data provided by the Center for Information and Research on
Civic Learning and Engagement
In the months leading up to yesterday’s primary, student
volunteer leaders with the Student PIRGs New Voters Project organized ‘dorm
storms,’ phone-banks, ‘get out the vote’ carnivals, shuttles to the polls, and
debate-watching parties to ensure high turnout on campuses throughout the
region.
“The youth vote surges seen this year and the past several
election cycles show that when you pay attention to young voters, young voters
pay attention to politics,” concluded Jahagirdar. “As we look toward the final
stretch of the primary season, we urge the candidates to continue to engage
young people and ensure a more representative, vibrant democracy this election
year.”
###
PennPIRG’s
mission is to deliver persistent, result-oriented public interest
activism that protects consumers, encourages a fair, sustainable economy, and
fosters responsive, democratic government.
The Student PIRGs’ New Voters Project
is the nation’s largest youth voter mobilization program. Since 2004, we
have registered more than 600,000 young people and made more than 650,000 peer
to peer voter turnout contacts to get young people to the polls on Election
Day. Due in large part to our efforts, the youth vote increased by 4.3 million
votes, or 9% in 2004 and an analysis of our work in 2006 found that in the
student dense precincts in which we worked, youth voter turnout increased on
average by 157%.